njleach

physics | climate | python

publications

2022

Leach, N. J., Watson, P. A. G., Sparrow, S. N., Wallom, D. C. H., Sexton, D. M. H. (2022). Generating samples of extreme winters to support climate adaptation. Weather and Climate Extremes, 100419.

2021

Leach, N. J., Weisheimer, A., Allen, M. R., & Palmer, T. (2021). Forecast-based attribution of a winter heatwave within the limit of predictability. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(49).

Leach, N. J., Jenkins, S., Nicholls, Z., Smith, C. J., Lynch, J., Cain, M., Walsh, T., Wu, B., Tsutsui, J., and Allen, M. R. (2021). FaIRv2.0.0: a generalized impulse response model for climate uncertainty and future scenario exploration, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 3007–3036.

Nicholls, Z., Meinshausen, M., Lewis, J., Corradi, M. R., Dorheim, K., Gasser, T., et al. (2021). Reduced complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Synthesizing Earth system knowledge for probabilistic climate projections. Earth’s Future, 9, e2020EF001900.

Jan Van Oldenborgh, G., Krikken, F., Lewis, S., Leach, N. J., Lehner, F., Saunders, K. R., … Otto, F. E. L. (2021). Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 21(3), 941–960.

2020

Leach, N. J., Li, S., Sparrow, S. N., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Lott, F. C., Weisheimer, A., & Allen, M. R. (2020). ANTHROPOGENIC INFLUENCE ON THE 2018 SUMMER WARM SPELL IN EUROPE: THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT SPATIO-TEMPORAL SCALES [in “Explaining Extremes of 2018 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101(1), S41–S46. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0201.1

R. J. Nicholls, Z., Meinshausen, M., Lewis, J., Gieseke, R., Dommenget, D., Dorheim, K., … Xie, Z. (2020). Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 1: Introduction and evaluation of global-mean temperature response. Geoscientific Model Development, 13(11), 5175–5190.

2019

2018

Leach, N. J., Millar, R. J., Haustein, K., Jenkins, S., Graham, E., & Allen, M. R. (2018). Current level and rate of warming determine emissions budgets under ambitious mitigation. Nature Geoscience, 11(8), 574–579. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0156-y

Jenkins, S., Millar, R. J., Leach, N., & Allen, M. R. (2018). Framing Climate Goals in Terms of Cumulative CO2-Forcing-Equivalent Emissions. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 2795– 2804. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL076173

Smith, C. J., Forster, P. M., Allen, M., Leach, N., Millar, R. J., Passerello, G. A., & Regayre, L. A. (2018). FAIR v1.3: a simple emissions-based impulse response and carbon cycle model. Geoscientific Model Development, 11(6), 2273–2297. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-2273-2018